They Said Buy

Creator dossier · @JosephCarlsonShow

Joseph Carlson

19 companies · 205 dated quotes. What Joseph Carlson said about each stock, when, and what the price did next.

YouTube channel ↗512,000 subscribers as of On record since September 2025Latest quote

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The short version

Joseph Carlson called Amazon a buy and in May 2026 named it a top conviction pick. They named Mastercard their top conviction in November 2025. In February 2026 they said they had sold Equifax and Salesforce, the second partly because Meta looked like a better deal. Meta then became their number one pick in August 2026. They disclosed buys of Duolingo in January 2026, Netflix in March 2026 and S&P Global in October 2026. ASML moved from a buy to a hold in April 2026, and in June 2026 they trimmed it to buy Uber, which they named their second top pick in August 2026. In August 2026 they called it a turnaround play for daring investors. In January 2026 they called Tesla an avoid and said they would not buy Costco.

Summary of the quotes on this page. Updated .

Track record

36% 5 of 14 matured calls beat the market · place 3 on the leaderboard

Beat the market
5
Lagged the market
9
In line with the market
0
In progress
2
Not scored
3

Each creator–stock record counts once: its first clear forecast, from the first close after the video, set against the S&P 500 over the same six months. The call record shows every creator by the same method; read the methodology.

Stock picks, dated

Latest call on each company
  1. Alphabet GOOGLHold, bullish-3.9% since
  2. ASML ASMLHold, bullish-6.1% since
  3. Mastercard MAHold, bullish+7.4% since
  4. Meta METAHold, bullish-14.4% since
  5. S&P Global SPGINamed as a pick+4.0% since
  6. Uber UBERNamed as a pick-16.9% since
  7. Adobe ADBENamed as a pick-3.5% since
  8. PayPal PYPLAvoid+0.9% since
  9. Microsoft MSFTBuying the dip+37.3% since
  10. Amazon AMZNTop conviction-6.4% since
  11. Duolingo DUOLHold, bullish+28.1% since
  12. Intuit INTUHold, bullish-19.7% since
  13. Netflix NFLXHold, bullish-33.5% since
  14. Nvidia NVDANamed as a pick+16.5% since
  15. Tesla TSLAAvoid-7.1% since
  16. Equifax EFXNamed as a pick-15.1% since

Latest quotes

  1. · Tesla · Risk acknowledged

    “So, this is already a highly competitive category that Tesla's operating in. So, while Tesla's a cool company, I believe that SpaceX is a much more interesting investment, much more defensible than Tesla.”

  2. · Uber · Disclosed buy

    “The second one that I bought this morning was $2,000 of Uber. Uber's currently at $69 and it's going through a big sell-off like these companies.”

  3. · S&P Global · Disclosed buy

    “It's S&P Global. I bought another $1,000 this morning, which I I have a position that's $114,000. So, I already own a lot of it. I'm very bullish on the company.”

  4. · Netflix · Disclosed buy

    “Now, like I said, I bought three different companies. The first one was Netflix. I bought another $2,000 of this stock.”

  5. · Alphabet · Hold, bullish

    “Now, in my previous episode, I said that Google's behind, but I'm not going to sell the stock. I own a lot of Google. It's my largest position. I have a $200,000 position in it, and I'm not selling a share specifically because even though Google's behind, I believe that things can change quickly.”

  6. · Netflix · Valuation view

    “Now the next company I believe is the most undervalued in my portfolio or very close to it today, which is Netflix.”

Portfolio: 107 disclosures on record, the latest . See the disclosed holdings →

Every company, with receipts

Source linked

The latest statement on each company and the price change since the first directional forecast (or the first quote without one). These are price observations, not investment returns.

CompanyLatest labelLatest quotePrice change
Tesla TSLARisk acknowledgedOct 19, 2026-7.1%
Netflix NFLXDisclosed buyOct 5, 2026-49.5%
S&P Global SPGIDisclosed buyOct 5, 2026-6.4%
Uber UBERDisclosed buyOct 5, 2026-4.9%
Alphabet GOOGLHold, bullishOct 1, 2026-3.9%
Amazon AMZNRisk acknowledgedSep 28, 2026+14.6%
ASML ASMLHold, bullishSep 28, 2026+19.2%
Costco COSTNot buying moreSep 28, 2026+3.3%
Mastercard MAHold, bullishSep 28, 2026+13.5%
Meta METAHold, bullishSep 28, 2026-3.7%
Microsoft MSFTValuation viewSep 28, 2026+31.2%
Adobe ADBEValuation viewSep 8, 2026-26.4%
Duolingo DUOLConditionalAug 24, 2026-52.7%
Palantir PLTRMentionAug 3, 2026+9.6%
PayPal PYPLRisk acknowledgedJul 27, 2026-4.9%
Nvidia NVDARisk acknowledgedMay 26, 2026+16.5%
Intuit INTURisk acknowledgedMay 21, 2026-19.7%
Salesforce CRMValuation viewFeb 26, 2026-0.3%
Equifax EFXSold / sellingFeb 2, 2026-31.7%

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