Joseph Carlson on Texas Roadhouse (TXRH): the quotes, dated.
7 dated quotes about Texas Roadhouse stock (TXRH), selected from all 121 Joseph Carlson videos published since 2025-09-10 — a selected record, not the complete history. Each links to the exact second on YouTube, with TXRH’s close that day and what the stock did since.
Every quote is reproduced word for word from the video and linked to the second it was said. Covers Joseph Carlson’s videos through .
- TXRH close, 2026-11-06
- $183.88
- Price since the first forecast, May 11, 2026
- +0.2%
- S&P 500 (SPY), same period
- -0.5%
- vs the S&P 500
- +0.7 pp
- Latest stance, Sep 28, 2026
- Buying the dip
- Mentions found
- 88 in 33 of 121 videos
The short version
In March 2026 Joseph Carlson considered Texas Roadhouse around fair value. In May 2026 they said they were more bullish than before and called it a buy even after a 15% spike. In June 2026 they described building the position back up toward a 5% portfolio weight. In August 2026 they expected the stock to go higher on margin expansion, and later that month set a 140 buy-in price they did not expect it to reach soon. In September 2026 they called it a buy after a 21% fall over the past month. In November 2026 they noted the stock was being bid up and expected great earnings.
Summary of the quotes on this page. Updated .
What Joseph Carlson said last · Nov 4, 2026
Mention
“After Costco, we have Texas Roadhouse, which is reporting earnings tomorrow. It's being bid up into earnings, and I think the earnings will be great.”
Bullish call · Little changed
The first forecast is bullish, and the price is within 1% of its starting level.
TXRH from to . Price movement, not the creator’s realized return.
Price up since 4 of 7 quotes · Stock ahead of SPY: 3 of 7
Leaderboard result: In progress, matures about . Scored from the first close after the video, . How it is scored
Joseph Carlson’s price target and valuation calls on TXRH
A price target, a fair-value estimate and a price worth buying at are different things. Each line below quotes which one was said, and when.
Valuation view
I consider Texas Roadhouse today to be around fair value.
Price and the calls
Use the left and right arrow keys to explore daily closing prices, Home and End for the first and last date, and Escape to dismiss the price tooltip. Tab to a numbered marker and press Enter to jump to its quote. Month-end prices are also available in the table below.
TXRH · daily close, split-adjusted · 2025-10-02 → 2026-11-06 · source: Yahoo Finance
Table view: month-end closes
| Month end | Close |
|---|---|
| 2025-10-31 | $164 |
| 2025-11-28 | $175 |
| 2025-12-31 | $166 |
| 2026-01-30 | $180 |
| 2026-02-27 | $183 |
| 2026-03-31 | $165 |
| 2026-04-30 | $161 |
| 2026-05-29 | $181 |
| 2026-06-30 | $193 |
| 2026-07-31 | $205 |
| 2026-08-31 | $196 |
| 2026-09-30 | $156 |
| 2026-10-30 | $183 |
| 2026-11-06 | $184 |
Use the left and right arrow keys to explore daily closing prices, Home and End for the first and last date, and Escape to dismiss the price tooltip. Tab to a numbered marker and press Enter to jump to its quote. Month-end prices are also available in the table below.
TXRH · daily close, split-adjusted · 2025-10-02 → 2026-11-06 · source: Yahoo Finance
Table view: month-end closes
| Month end | Close |
|---|---|
| 2025-10-31 | $164 |
| 2025-11-28 | $175 |
| 2025-12-31 | $166 |
| 2026-01-30 | $180 |
| 2026-02-27 | $183 |
| 2026-03-31 | $165 |
| 2026-04-30 | $161 |
| 2026-05-29 | $181 |
| 2026-06-30 | $193 |
| 2026-07-31 | $205 |
| 2026-08-31 | $196 |
| 2026-09-30 | $156 |
| 2026-10-30 | $183 |
| 2026-11-06 | $184 |
What Joseph Carlson said, when
- 1
— Valuation view
38:19 “I consider Texas Roadhouse today to be around fair value.”
Carlson was finishing a valuation review of every stock in the portfolio, after estimating a 5 and 1/2% return in a valuation-compression case.
- 2
— Named as a pick
28:15 “I am more bullish on Texas Roadhouse today than I think I've I've been before. I think the company's going to do great. And right now, even after it spiked up 15%, I still think it's a buy.”
Carlson was discussing how continued revenue growth and a lower cost of cattle could give the company operating leverage.
- 3
— Disclosed buy
7:10 “And I like what I see with it. So, even though I own quite a bit of the company, I'm starting to build back up this position to make Texas Roadhouse a little bit higher weighted. And I want to get it to around a 5% weighted position in my overall portfolio.”
Carlson was describing the company's market share gains and how the stock price had held up despite record-high beef prices.
- 4
— Hold, bullish
23:03 “When those factors improve for Texas Roadhouse, we have an incredible margin expansion story. So, I still believe that there's actually a lot of catalysts moving towards this stock. I expect it to go higher.”
Ahead of the earnings report, Carlson was discussing growth during a period of beef and employee inflation.
- 5
— Conditional
19:09 “The buy-in price that I'm setting for this one is 140. So, I don't believe Texas Roadhouse will get to 140 anytime soon. I'm not planning on that, but if it does and it does so before these companies get to their buy targets, then Texas Roadhouse will earn the cash.”
Carlson was comparing smaller positions for $10,000 of new cash, with the stock trading at 205.
- 6
— Buying the dip
18:37 “Texas Roadhouse is another company that I want to highlight that I think is a buy today. The stock price would make you believe that there's something dramatically wrong with this stock because it just sold off a lot. It went down 21% in the past month.”
- 7
— Mention
5:25 “After Costco, we have Texas Roadhouse, which is reporting earnings tomorrow. It's being bid up into earnings, and I think the earnings will be great.”
Carlson was going through the day's stock moves while discussing a market rotation.
More from Joseph Carlson
All 21 companies →Joseph Carlson has spoken on camera about their own TXRH position; the latest, : Position. See it in the disclosed holdings →
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How to read this
Quotes are short excerpts from Joseph Carlson's public YouTube videos, attributed to the speaker and linked to the timestamp. “Close that day” is TXRH's split-adjusted closing price on the day the video was published (New York time); if markets were closed that day, the last close before it. If the stock has split since a quote, the card shows the price it traded at that day and, beneath it, the split-adjusted close the % change uses. “Since” compares that close with the latest close on 2026-11-06. It is a price observation, not the creator's realized return, and not investment advice. How the price change is calculated. Next to it we show SPY, the ETF tracking the S&P 500, over the same two dates — so a move can be read against the market rather than on its own: why we compare with SPY. Each quote also carries a label — Named as a pick, Risk acknowledged, Reducing — describing what kind of statement it was: see what the labels mean.
Coverage: 121 of 121 videos published since 2025-09-10 covered; 88 Texas Roadhouse mentions found. Prices as of 2026-11-06.
Independent record — not affiliated with or endorsed by Joseph Carlson. Request a correction or removal