Sven Carlin on NKE
Sven Carlin on Nike (NKE): the quotes, dated.
7 dated quotes about Nike stock (NKE), selected from all 341 Sven Carlin videos published since 2025-09-10 — a selected record, not the complete history. Each links to the exact second on YouTube, with NKE’s close that day and what the stock did since.
Every quote is reproduced word for word from the video and linked to the second it was said.
- NKE close, 2026-10-19
- $37.21
- Price since the first forecast, Nov 10, 2025
- -38.8%
- S&P 500 (SPY), same period
- +12.5%
- vs the S&P 500
- -51.3 pp
- Latest stance, Oct 5, 2026
- Avoid
- Mentions found
- 150 in 32 of 341 videos
The short version
In November 2025 Sven Carlin saw Nike as an interesting situation with little downside and significant upside. In March 2026 they called it very risky with a low return. In April 2026 they said a return to growth was a question mark. In July 2026 they raised their expected return to 4–5%, citing a possible buyout. In August 2026 they said Nike smelled like a good bet, with the buy-more level of 40 reached. In September 2026 they called it an interesting green bet if played smartly; in October 2026 they said it would not enter their diversified portfolio.
Summary of the quotes on this page. Updated .
What Sven Carlin said last · Oct 5, 2026
Avoid
“I have looked at Nike when I saw the empty store, it will not enter my diversified portfolio.”
Bullish call · Price fell
The price fell since the first bullish quote.
NKE from to . Price movement, not the creator’s realized return.
Price up since 1 of 7 quotes · Stock ahead of SPY: 1 of 7
Leaderboard result: Lagged the market (6 months, → ). How it is scored
Sven Carlin’s price target and valuation calls on NKE
A price target, a fair-value estimate and a price worth buying at are different things. Each line below quotes which one was said, and when.
Valuation view
So, I have pushed them from a 3 4% return to a 4 5% less risky return because I think somebody will buy them out or things like that over the next 10 years.
Price and the calls
Use the left and right arrow keys to explore daily closing prices, Home and End for the first and last date, and Escape to dismiss the price tooltip. Tab to a numbered marker and press Enter to jump to its quote. Month-end prices are also available in the table below.
NKE · daily close, split-adjusted · 2025-09-15 → 2026-10-19 · source: Yahoo Finance
Table view: month-end closes
| Month end | Close |
|---|---|
| 2025-09-30 | $69.73 |
| 2025-10-31 | $64.59 |
| 2025-11-28 | $64.63 |
| 2025-12-31 | $63.71 |
| 2026-01-30 | $61.81 |
| 2026-02-27 | $62.18 |
| 2026-03-31 | $52.82 |
| 2026-04-30 | $44.36 |
| 2026-05-29 | $46.23 |
| 2026-06-30 | $41.05 |
| 2026-07-31 | $41.71 |
| 2026-08-31 | $39.06 |
| 2026-09-30 | $35.40 |
| 2026-10-19 | $37.21 |
Use the left and right arrow keys to explore daily closing prices, Home and End for the first and last date, and Escape to dismiss the price tooltip. Tab to a numbered marker and press Enter to jump to its quote. Month-end prices are also available in the table below.
NKE · daily close, split-adjusted · 2025-09-15 → 2026-10-19 · source: Yahoo Finance
Table view: month-end closes
| Month end | Close |
|---|---|
| 2025-09-30 | $69.73 |
| 2025-10-31 | $64.59 |
| 2025-11-28 | $64.63 |
| 2025-12-31 | $63.71 |
| 2026-01-30 | $61.81 |
| 2026-02-27 | $62.18 |
| 2026-03-31 | $52.82 |
| 2026-04-30 | $44.36 |
| 2026-05-29 | $46.23 |
| 2026-06-30 | $41.05 |
| 2026-07-31 | $41.71 |
| 2026-08-31 | $39.06 |
| 2026-09-30 | $35.40 |
| 2026-10-19 | $37.21 |
What Sven Carlin said, when
- 1
— Named as a pick
9:46 “Very interesting situation with Nike, not much downside, significant upside.”
Sven Carlin was weighing Nike's downside and upside from a relative and an absolute value investing perspective.
- 2
— Risk acknowledged
17:21 “So, 3% dividend yield over the long term, unlikely to see some boom that it has enjoyed in the past. Those times are over. It might happen. It can always happen, but I don't see what Bill Ackman sees in it. So, for me it's very risky with a low return.”
Sven Carlin was discussing falling revenues, heavy competition and a shifted market for brands while reviewing the risk and reward quadrant.
- 3
— Conditional
4:04 “So, in order to go higher, Nike should get to the 5 billion and then get back to growth to that long-term trajectory the stock was on for the most part of the previous decade. But, we cannot know whether that will happen, therefore it's a big question mark.”
Sven Carlin was discussing what net income would justify Nike's market capitalization.
- 4
— Valuation view
5:00 “So, I have pushed them from a 3 4% return to a 4 5% less risky return because I think somebody will buy them out or things like that over the next 10 years.”
In a quadrant update, Sven Carlin noted Nike's dividend yield of 3.82% and expected some growth.
- 5
— Buying the dip
4:46 “My verdict now is it smells like a good bet. I said it that at 60 but now it's really better. Buy more at 40 we are there.”
Sven Carlin was discussing whether Nike was bottoming out, including its enterprise value and a possible takeover.
- 6
— Named as a pick
19:54 “Very interesting green bet for Nike there, which I think you can make some money on if you play it smartly.”
Sven Carlin suggested waiting, playing the volatility, being ready to buy more and trimming on the way up.
- 7
— Avoid
15:18 “I have looked at Nike when I saw the empty store, it will not enter my diversified portfolio.”
Sven Carlin described seeing an empty Nike store next to a busy Zara store.
No quote added since · 11 later videos from Sven Carlin · covers videos through
Other creators on NKE
- Everything MoneyRisk acknowledged-41.2%
- Jeremy LefebvrePrice target-48.3%
More from Sven Carlin
All 10 companies →- Adobe ADBERisk acknowledged-0.9%
- Berkshire BRK-BValuation view+10.6%
- Meta METAValuation view+22.8%
- Microsoft MSFTValuation view+44.1%
- Alibaba BABAConditional+14.2%
- Alphabet GOOGLAvoid+43.9%
How to read this
Quotes are short excerpts from Sven Carlin's public YouTube videos, attributed to the speaker and linked to the timestamp. “Close that day” is NKE's split-adjusted closing price on the day the video was published (New York time); if markets were closed that day, the last close before it. If the stock has split since a quote, the card shows the price it traded at that day and, beneath it, the split-adjusted close the % change uses. “Since” compares that close with the latest close on 2026-10-19. It is a price observation, not the creator's realized return, and not investment advice. How the price change is calculated. Next to it we show SPY, the ETF tracking the S&P 500, over the same two dates — so a move can be read against the market rather than on its own: why we compare with SPY. Each quote also carries a label — Named as a pick, Risk acknowledged, Reducing — describing what kind of statement it was: see what the labels mean.
Coverage: 341 of 341 videos published since 2025-09-10 covered; 150 Nike mentions found. Prices as of 2026-10-19.
Independent record — not affiliated with or endorsed by Sven Carlin. Request a correction or removal