Sven Carlin on ADBE
Sven Carlin on Adobe (ADBE): the quotes, dated.
7 dated quotes about Adobe stock (ADBE), selected from all 341 Sven Carlin videos published since 2025-09-10 — a selected record, not the complete history. Each links to the exact second on YouTube, with ADBE’s close that day and what the stock did since.
Every quote is reproduced word for word from the video and linked to the second it was said.
- ADBE close, 2026-10-19
- $247.09
- Price since the first forecast, Mar 13, 2026
- -0.9%
- S&P 500 (SPY), same period
- +15.7%
- vs the S&P 500
- -16.6 pp
- Latest stance, Oct 7, 2026
- Risk acknowledged
- Mentions found
- 125 in 23 of 341 videos
The short version
In November 2025 Sven Carlin doubted 10–20% growth for Adobe the next year, calling growth the key question. In December 2025 they chose to stay on the side. In February 2026 they said they had never liked Adobe but, at a P/E of 16 with 10% growth, it might be a great time to buy. In March 2026 they said drops that prompted analyst sell calls were usually the best time to buy. In June 2026 they called Adobe a buy that did not fit their portfolio. In July 2026 they marked it green, citing positive risk-reward. In October 2026 they expected the business to decline slowly over ten years.
Summary of the quotes on this page. Updated .
What Sven Carlin said last · Oct 7, 2026
Risk acknowledged
“Adobe has a mode has a business but that business will be slowly declining over the next 10 years and they will use the money to build whatever do buybacks and things like that.”
Bullish call · Little changed
The first forecast is bullish, and the price is within 1% of its starting level.
ADBE from to . Price movement, not the creator’s realized return.
Price up since 3 of 7 quotes · Stock ahead of SPY: 3 of 7
Leaderboard result: Lagged the market (6 months, → ). How it is scored
Sven Carlin’s price target and valuation calls on ADBE
A price target, a fair-value estimate and a price worth buying at are different things. Each line below quotes which one was said, and when.
Valuation view
We also discussed Adobe over the last months. I never liked it and for now I have been right. Stock is a little bit lower, but perhaps now P/E ratio 16 still growing at 10%. Per…
Price and the calls
Use the left and right arrow keys to explore daily closing prices, Home and End for the first and last date, and Escape to dismiss the price tooltip. Tab to a numbered marker and press Enter to jump to its quote. Month-end prices are also available in the table below.
ADBE · daily close, split-adjusted · 2025-09-15 → 2026-10-19 · source: Yahoo Finance
Table view: month-end closes
| Month end | Close |
|---|---|
| 2025-09-30 | $353 |
| 2025-10-31 | $340 |
| 2025-11-28 | $320 |
| 2025-12-31 | $350 |
| 2026-01-30 | $293 |
| 2026-02-27 | $262 |
| 2026-03-31 | $243 |
| 2026-04-30 | $246 |
| 2026-05-29 | $259 |
| 2026-06-30 | $205 |
| 2026-07-31 | $250 |
| 2026-08-31 | $293 |
| 2026-09-30 | $240 |
| 2026-10-19 | $247 |
Use the left and right arrow keys to explore daily closing prices, Home and End for the first and last date, and Escape to dismiss the price tooltip. Tab to a numbered marker and press Enter to jump to its quote. Month-end prices are also available in the table below.
ADBE · daily close, split-adjusted · 2025-09-15 → 2026-10-19 · source: Yahoo Finance
Table view: month-end closes
| Month end | Close |
|---|---|
| 2025-09-30 | $353 |
| 2025-10-31 | $340 |
| 2025-11-28 | $320 |
| 2025-12-31 | $350 |
| 2026-01-30 | $293 |
| 2026-02-27 | $262 |
| 2026-03-31 | $243 |
| 2026-04-30 | $246 |
| 2026-05-29 | $259 |
| 2026-06-30 | $205 |
| 2026-07-31 | $250 |
| 2026-08-31 | $293 |
| 2026-09-30 | $240 |
| 2026-10-19 | $247 |
What Sven Carlin said, when
- 1
— Risk acknowledged
4:25 “I don't think the growth will be 10 20% next year. What will be the growth is now the key question when it comes to Adobe investing.”
In a video they called a superficial analysis, Sven Carlin talked through different growth scenarios for Adobe.
- 2
— Avoid
4:05 “However, interesting situation. I'm looking forward to watching this evolve. Personally, I'll just stay on the side”
This came after a look at Adobe's buybacks and at managers selling shares.
- 3
— Valuation view
0:38 “We also discussed Adobe over the last months. I never liked it and for now I have been right. Stock is a little bit lower, but perhaps now P/E ratio 16 still growing at 10%. Perhaps now it is a great time to buy.”
The remark opened a video on falling software stocks, including Constellation Software, H&R Block and SAP.
- 4
— Buying the dip
6:26 “When it goes down, then analysts are saying sell now, sell now. And that is usually the best time to buy.”
Sven Carlin compared analyst sentiment with Adobe's stock price after an earnings report that sent the shares lower before the market opened.
- 5
— Named as a pick
6:48 “As I explained, Adobe is a buy, but you have to see at what level and is it for you? Because it doesn't fit my portfolio, my requirements.”
This was a reply to viewer comments on their earlier call that Adobe was a buy.
- 6
— Named as a pick
0:27 “It will depend on how AI, how marketing, how all these things work, but from just a feeling, when looking at this and analyzing the sentiment, I'm going to put Adobe here in green because I think that if you buy it now, you're likely looking at the positive risk and reward situation.”
Sven Carlin was going through the bets section of their value investing quadrant and gave a P/E ratio of 12 for Adobe.
- 7
— Risk acknowledged
18:26 “Adobe has a mode has a business but that business will be slowly declining over the next 10 years and they will use the money to build whatever do buybacks and things like that.”
They set Adobe against fast-growing low-cost AI video tools and pointed to heavy competition.
No quote added since · 10 later videos from Sven Carlin · covers videos through
Other creators on ADBE
- Everything MoneyDisclosed buy-28.8%
- Jeremy LefebvreValuation view-28.8%
- Joseph CarlsonValuation view-27.1%
- Adam KhooAvoid-7.9%
More from Sven Carlin
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- Microsoft MSFTValuation view+44.1%
- Alibaba BABAConditional+14.2%
- Alphabet GOOGLAvoid+43.9%
How to read this
Quotes are short excerpts from Sven Carlin's public YouTube videos, attributed to the speaker and linked to the timestamp. “Close that day” is ADBE's split-adjusted closing price on the day the video was published (New York time); if markets were closed that day, the last close before it. If the stock has split since a quote, the card shows the price it traded at that day and, beneath it, the split-adjusted close the % change uses. “Since” compares that close with the latest close on 2026-10-19. It is a price observation, not the creator's realized return, and not investment advice. How the price change is calculated. Next to it we show SPY, the ETF tracking the S&P 500, over the same two dates — so a move can be read against the market rather than on its own: why we compare with SPY. Each quote also carries a label — Named as a pick, Risk acknowledged, Reducing — describing what kind of statement it was: see what the labels mean.
Coverage: 341 of 341 videos published since 2025-09-10 covered; 125 Adobe mentions found. Prices as of 2026-10-19.
Independent record — not affiliated with or endorsed by Sven Carlin. Request a correction or removal