Creator dossier · @value-investing
Sven Carlin
12 companies · 96 dated quotes. What Sven Carlin said about each stock, when, and what the price did next.
YouTube channel ↗272,000 subscribers as of On record since September 2025Latest quote
Explore disclosed holdings →The short version
Sven Carlin talked about Alibaba, Adobe, Amazon, Berkshire Hathaway, Meta Platforms, Nike, Microsoft, Alphabet and PayPal. In October 2025 they said they had sold Alibaba after it doubled, and in September 2026 they said they would look at it again only if it got cheaper. They chose to stay on the side with Adobe in December 2025, then called it a buy in June 2026 and again in July 2026. Amazon was a question of price in October 2025, and in April 2026 they said it was worth buying and adding more if it fell. Berkshire Hathaway was called pricey in February 2026 but named a pick in June 2026. Meta Platforms was called a buy in July 2026. Nike was a pick in September 2026, but in October 2026 they said it would not enter their portfolio. They said to avoid PayPal in February 2026, called Microsoft too risky from March 2026, and said to avoid Alphabet at current prices in September 2026.
Summary of the quotes on this page. Updated .
Track record
Not enough scored calls yet: 7 of 12 records scored; the next call matures about .
- Beat the market
- 2
- Lagged the market
- 5
- In line with the market
- 0
- In progress
- 1
- Not scored
- 4
Each creator–stock record counts once: its first clear forecast, from the first close after the video, set against the S&P 500 over the same six months. The call record shows every creator by the same method; read the methodology.
Stock picks, dated
Latest call on each company- Nike NKENamed as a pick-4.2% since
- Adobe ADBENamed as a pick+8.3% since
- Meta METANamed as a pick-0.5% since
- Alibaba BABANamed as a pick+6.2% since
- Berkshire BRK-BNamed as a pick+11.0% since
- Amazon AMZNBuying the dip+21.4% since
- Verizon VZNamed as a pick-16.0% since
- PayPal PYPLAvoid+40.4% since
Latest quotes
“Adobe has a mode has a business but that business will be slowly declining over the next 10 years and they will use the money to build whatever do buybacks and things like that.”
“I have looked at Nike when I saw the empty store, it will not enter my diversified portfolio.”
“Verizon 6% yield, but the company is burdened with a lot of debt. So some growth there. Okay. But I'm going to put it here at a high risk. Let's say 7 to 8% return.”
“If they grow even faster on a higher multiple, okay, but I don't believe the growth there is sustainable. It's all engineering AI. So for me, Microsoft is very low intrinsic value.”
“So I have to put it here as perhaps a little bit riskier than the market but way better return getting into 10%. I might not like Mark but it is what it is from that price perspective.”
“I said when compared to other opportunities, Berkshire is now a sell because when you look at the net income of 45 billion, the likely growth of 6% going ahead and an average still positive P ratio of 17, then if they make 80 billion in 10 years in profits times 17, the market cap will be 1.3 trillion. Not far from where it is now.”
Every company, with receipts
Source linkedPrice change since the first directional forecast on each company, or first quote if there is no forecast, across different time periods. These are price observations, not investment returns.
ADBEAdobe · Sven Carlin
Risk acknowledged“Adobe has a mode has a business but that business will be slowly declining over the next 10 years and they will use th…”
+0.2% Little changedsince first forecast · 2026-03-132026-03-13 → 2026-10-28S&P +16.6%7 dated quotes · 125 mentionsOpen the receiptsAMZNAmazon · Sven Carlin
Conditional“And when I look at Amazon, I'm waiting for that recession, for that ugliness, for that bad investment, something that…”
+21.4% Price went upsince first forecast · 2026-04-022026-04-02 → 2026-10-28S&P +17.8%10 dated quotes · 224 mentionsOpen the receiptsASMLASML · Sven Carlin
Valuation view“And it has done really well over the last year and a half, more than two times up. The P ratio is now 60. It was in th…”
+77.6% Price went upsince first quote · 2025-10-102025-10-10 → 2026-10-28S&P +18.3%7 dated quotes · 23 mentionsOpen the receiptsBABAAlibaba · Sven Carlin
Conditional“So, there is definitely some value, but to invest in Alibaba, you really need it cheap, perhaps even cheaper than it w…”
+6.2% Price went upsince first forecast · 2026-06-252026-06-25 → 2026-10-28S&P +5.2%11 dated quotes · 131 mentionsOpen the receiptsBRK-BBerkshire · Sven Carlin
Valuation view“I said when compared to other opportunities, Berkshire is now a sell because when you look at the net income of 45 bil…”
+12.3% Price went upsince first forecast · 2026-03-032026-03-03 → 2026-10-28S&P +13.5%12 dated quotes · 377 mentionsOpen the receiptsGOOGLAlphabet · Sven Carlin
Avoid“We discussed Google as a bet and you can see it here as red. Warren Buffett's buying, Sven you're a value investor, yo…”
+35.8% Price went upsince first quote · 2025-09-102025-09-10 → 2026-10-28S&P +18.4%12 dated quotes · 253 mentionsOpen the receiptsINTCIntel · Sven Carlin
Risk acknowledged“Which means Intel, my friends, is not profitable on the same accounting standards that were holding just 3 years ago.”
-11.7% Price went downsince first quote · 2026-05-182026-05-18 → 2026-10-28S&P +4.6%3 dated quotes · 8 mentionsOpen the receiptsMETAMeta · Sven Carlin
Valuation view“So I have to put it here as perhaps a little bit riskier than the market but way better return getting into 10%. I mig…”
+6.6% Price went upsince first forecast · 2026-04-022026-04-02 → 2026-10-28S&P +17.8%6 dated quotes · 118 mentionsOpen the receiptsMSFTMicrosoft · Sven Carlin
Valuation view“If they grow even faster on a higher multiple, okay, but I don't believe the growth there is sustainable. It's all eng…”
+43.5% Price went upsince first quote · 2026-03-312026-03-31 → 2026-10-28S&P +18.8%7 dated quotes · 141 mentionsOpen the receiptsNKENike · Sven Carlin
Avoid“I have looked at Nike when I saw the empty store, it will not enter my diversified portfolio.”
-38.9% Price went downsince first forecast · 2025-11-102025-11-10 → 2026-10-28S&P +13.3%7 dated quotes · 153 mentionsOpen the receiptsPYPLPayPal · Sven Carlin
Risk acknowledged“PayPal is a little bit more risky perhaps on duration of the business sustainability that we discussed.”
+40.4% Price went upsince first forecast · 2026-02-132026-02-13 → 2026-10-28S&P +13.3%8 dated quotes · 59 mentionsOpen the receiptsVZVerizon · Sven Carlin
Risk acknowledged“Verizon 6% yield, but the company is burdened with a lot of debt. So some growth there. Okay. But I'm going to put it…”
-16.0% Price went downsince first forecast · 2026-03-132026-03-13 → 2026-10-28S&P +16.6%6 dated quotes · 19 mentionsOpen the receipts
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