Daniel Pronk on MSFT
Daniel Pronk on Microsoft (MSFT): the quotes, dated.
8 dated quotes about Microsoft stock (MSFT), selected from all 94 Daniel Pronk videos published since 2025-09-10 — a selected record, not the complete history. Each links to the exact second on YouTube, with MSFT’s close that day and what the stock did since.
Every quote is reproduced word for word from the video and linked to the second it was said.
- MSFT close, 2026-10-19
- $533.52
- Price since the first forecast, Feb 18, 2026
- +33.5%
- S&P 500 (SPY), same period
- +11.7%
- vs the S&P 500
- +21.8 pp
- Latest stance, Jul 30, 2026
- Valuation view
- Mentions found
- 461 in 48 of 94 videos
The short version
In October 2025 Daniel Pronk said Microsoft was selling above fair value and was not in their buy range. In January 2026 they argued it was becoming more fairly valued. In February 2026 they disclosed no position but were seriously considering buying, calling it undervalued. In April 2026 their DCF gave a $422 fair value and a $658 five-year price. In June 2026 they voiced concern about seat-based pricing disruption, yet were tempted to add shares by trimming something else. In July 2026 they called a 23.2 forward PE very fair. In August 2026 they said they were buying Amazon and Meta instead of Microsoft.
Summary of the quotes on this page. Updated .
What Daniel Pronk said last · Aug 14, 2026
Mention
“And that is the reason why I am not buying Google or Microsoft, and instead I am buying Amazon and Meta.”
Bullish call · Price rose
The price rose since the first bullish quote.
MSFT from to . Price movement, not the creator’s realized return.
Price up since 8 of 8 quotes · Stock ahead of SPY: 7 of 8
Leaderboard result: Beat the market (6 months, → ). Scored from the first close after the video, . How it is scored
Daniel Pronk’s price target and valuation calls on MSFT
A price target, a fair-value estimate and a price worth buying at are different things. Each line below quotes which one was said, and when.
Valuation view
And I do think that Microsoft, just in my opinion, is selling above fair value today. It's not massively overvalued, it's not, you know, bubble territory, but I do think that it…
Valuation view
So, currently, it doesn't look like Microsoft is very expensive heading into its earnings report, and I would argue that it's starting to become more fairly valued.
Price target
But even with this pessimism, we get around a 13% compounded annual growth rate to the share price over the next 5 years, a fair value of $422 per share, and a future stock pric…
Valuation view
Now, if you're someone who prefers earnings, well, right now you can see that Microsoft's forward PE is still only at 23.2, which I think is a very fair multiple for one of the…
Price and the calls
Use the left and right arrow keys to explore daily closing prices, Home and End for the first and last date, and Escape to dismiss the price tooltip. Tab to a numbered marker and press Enter to jump to its quote. Month-end prices are also available in the table below.
MSFT · daily close, split-adjusted · 2025-09-15 → 2026-10-19 · source: Yahoo Finance
Table view: month-end closes
| Month end | Close |
|---|---|
| 2025-09-30 | $518 |
| 2025-10-31 | $518 |
| 2025-11-28 | $492 |
| 2025-12-31 | $484 |
| 2026-01-30 | $430 |
| 2026-02-27 | $393 |
| 2026-03-31 | $370 |
| 2026-04-30 | $408 |
| 2026-05-29 | $450 |
| 2026-06-30 | $373 |
| 2026-07-31 | $465 |
| 2026-08-31 | $507 |
| 2026-09-30 | $513 |
| 2026-10-19 | $534 |
Use the left and right arrow keys to explore daily closing prices, Home and End for the first and last date, and Escape to dismiss the price tooltip. Tab to a numbered marker and press Enter to jump to its quote. Month-end prices are also available in the table below.
MSFT · daily close, split-adjusted · 2025-09-15 → 2026-10-19 · source: Yahoo Finance
Table view: month-end closes
| Month end | Close |
|---|---|
| 2025-09-30 | $518 |
| 2025-10-31 | $518 |
| 2025-11-28 | $492 |
| 2025-12-31 | $484 |
| 2026-01-30 | $430 |
| 2026-02-27 | $393 |
| 2026-03-31 | $370 |
| 2026-04-30 | $408 |
| 2026-05-29 | $450 |
| 2026-06-30 | $373 |
| 2026-07-31 | $465 |
| 2026-08-31 | $507 |
| 2026-09-30 | $513 |
| 2026-10-19 | $534 |
What Daniel Pronk said, when
- 1
— Valuation view
29:54 “And I do think that Microsoft, just in my opinion, is selling above fair value today. It's not massively overvalued, it's not, you know, bubble territory, but I do think that it is it's just not in my buy range, personally.”
Reviewing Microsoft's earnings, he compared its price to operating cash flow of 26.4 with its long-term average.
- 2
— Valuation view
17:06 “So, currently, it doesn't look like Microsoft is very expensive heading into its earnings report, and I would argue that it's starting to become more fairly valued.”
Previewing earnings, he noted the stock was about 24 times operating cash flow, in line with its long-term median, after a 13.2% pullback.
- 3
— Named as a pick
16:18 “Now, full disclosure, I have not taken on a Microsoft position in my portfolio yet, but this is a stock that I am seriously considering adding to my portfolio at its current price because again, I do think that it is undervalued”
He summarized a video on Microsoft's share price decline, citing a 25% correction and a DCF he considered pessimistic.
- 4
— Price target
17:21 “But even with this pessimism, we get around a 13% compounded annual growth rate to the share price over the next 5 years, a fair value of $422 per share, and a future stock price of $658, which is a 76% total return over the next 5 years.”
He described a DCF that assumed 12% annual operating cash flow growth and a price to operating cash flow multiple of 17.
- 5
— Risk acknowledged
14:55 “Microsoft seems like they have kind of been dropping the ball with their AI roll out and they seem like well just personally I'm a little bit more concerned about their disruption to their seatbased pricing”
He explained why he does not hold Microsoft and has bought Amazon and Meta instead.
- 6
— Conditional
16:32 “But I am very tempted to also add some Microsoft. It just means that I would have to trim something else down to do so at this very moment as again I do not have a lot of cash.”
He said he had not added any Microsoft shares yet after buying Amazon, Meta and other stocks.
- 7
— Valuation view
18:34 “Now, if you're someone who prefers earnings, well, right now you can see that Microsoft's forward PE is still only at 23.2, which I think is a very fair multiple for one of the best businesses in the world that's still growing by nearly 20% per year.”
In a review of Microsoft's latest earnings, he discussed its valuation after the stock rose.
- 8
— Mention
24:59 “And that is the reason why I am not buying Google or Microsoft, and instead I am buying Amazon and Meta.”
He compared the hyperscalers and described Google as selling above its historical averages.
No quote added since · 15 later videos from Daniel Pronk · covers videos through
Other creators on MSFT
- Adam KhooNot buying more+6.5%
- Everything MoneyRisk acknowledged+16.0%
- Business with BrianValuation view+5.2%
- Sven CarlinValuation view+44.1%
- Joseph CarlsonValuation view+31.8%
- Jeremy LefebvreNamed as a pick+23.1%
- Tom NashValuation view+8.4%
More from Daniel Pronk
All 8 companies →- Amazon AMZNDisclosed buy+2.9%
- Brookfield BAMDisclosed holding+0.8%
- Nvidia NVDAValuation view+4.9%
- Meta METAHold, bullish-2.7%
- MercadoLibre MELIValuation view-10.0%
- Alphabet GOOGLValuation view+42.9%
How to read this
Quotes are short excerpts from Daniel Pronk's public YouTube videos, attributed to the speaker and linked to the timestamp. “Close that day” is MSFT's split-adjusted closing price on the day the video was published (New York time); if markets were closed that day, the last close before it. If the stock has split since a quote, the card shows the price it traded at that day and, beneath it, the split-adjusted close the % change uses. “Since” compares that close with the latest close on 2026-10-19. It is a price observation, not the creator's realized return, and not investment advice. How the price change is calculated. Next to it we show SPY, the ETF tracking the S&P 500, over the same two dates — so a move can be read against the market rather than on its own: why we compare with SPY. Each quote also carries a label — Named as a pick, Risk acknowledged, Reducing — describing what kind of statement it was: see what the labels mean.
Coverage: 94 of 94 videos published since 2025-09-10 covered; 461 Microsoft mentions found. Prices as of 2026-10-19.
Independent record — not affiliated with or endorsed by Daniel Pronk. Request a correction or removal